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REAL-TIME RISK ANALYSIS AND SCENARIO FORECASTING

Updated: Feb 5

Assessing Probabilities of Exogenous Shocks to Countries, Sectors, Industries, Supply Chains and Business Process Management and Mitigating the Impact of Exogenous Events



OBSERVING THE WORLD IN REAL-TIME DATA:


“Three seconds into the future, five seconds into the future certain variables fall off, other variables come into play and they are weighted differently. There is only the next pattern. The notion that there are historical patterns is a device that gives us a certain degree of comfort. But in fact things are constantly changing.” - Donald Leka, Founder, Chairman and CEO of the Jumptuit Group


DATA FOR IMPACT EVENT: THE CONVERGENCE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

School of International Service, American University

Washington, DC



Featured in this topic video -


Keynote Speaker: Donald Leka, Founder and CEO Jumptuit


Matthew M. Taylor, PhD, MPP, Georgetown University; B.A., Princeton University

Professor of Political Risk Analysis at the School of International Service, American University.


Matthew Taylor has held fellowships at the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars and as an Adjunct Senior Fellow for Latin America Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. Taylor is the author or editor of five books and a variety of articles on Latin America.


Shannon Hader, MD, MPH, Columbia University; BS, Stanford University

Dean of the School of International Service at American University.


Shannon Hader is the former Assistant Secretary-General of the United Nations and Deputy Executive Director of Programmes at the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), and a prominent leader in the fight against HIV/AIDS in the United States and globally.



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