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  • JUMPTUIT

2020 Presidential Election


On the eve of the 2020 Presidential Election, based on an analysis of quantitative and qualitative data, trending events and sentiment, a comparison of early voting turnouts in 2016 and 2020, and the probability/feasibility of repeat under/outperform numbers in the previous election cycle, Jumptuit projects that President Donald J. Trump will win the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election with a close electoral college victory, 275 - 263. The margins are very narrow in several battleground states. Biden is in reach of victories in Pennsylvania and the traditionally Republican states of Arizona, Georgia and Texas. Alternatively, Trump is in reach of narrow victories in Michigan and Wisconsin with an outside chance at Minnesota. Florida is again in contention and could produce a narrow victory for either candidate.